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UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216

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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with all the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his abilities will probably not be advancing. Mitrione has the superior technique, power and durability standing that ought to see him with a sensible benefit. Kharitonov will be looking to acquire the fight down but it will be hard given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Expect a tentative beginning from both men before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione in 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this struggle after a significant injury layoff. Actually he’s had just 1 victory since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks on his condition the fight seems to be lined too broad. Ngannou clearly has huge stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet early. If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a whole lot of pressure to opponents but he is open to taking shots himself, particularly when gassed. Both guys have paths to victory here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and discover an early KO. Cain will want to avoid the early storm and seem to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage pressure. We like the underdog in what seems like a 50/50 fight going in. On the other hand, the winner of the struggle is likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his latest KO but his conduct towards the top was remarkable. Inside this matchup he’ll function as superior technical boxer with the duration and speed advantage. Felder has a propensity to mimic his opponent but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find victory. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but all other avenues to victory have been in Vick’s favour. Felder requires a close range fight to use his best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick into a gameplan and keep it at range. We enjoy the lineup on Vick to cruise to victory with a clinical decision.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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