Betting on combined martial arts, and the UFC particularly, should be quite attractive to people that are attracted to gambling on underdogs. Because the game uses moneyline betting it is far from uncommon to see underdogs heading off at quite high potential yields, and upsets are a significant part of the game. Obviously, you can’t just blindly bet on most of underdogs and aspire to make a profit — it can’t be that easy. There are a number of scenarios in which you are a lot more inclined to discover a potentially profitable underdog compared to others. Here are five such situations to be on the lookout for:
A favourite drawing massive public action — The UFC does a very good job of encouraging their celebrities and making their best fighters seem very good. If those fighters fight, then, it is extremely common to see them go off as very heavy favorites. A lot of UFC bettors are just casual fans, so they will be much more on reputation than anything else, and that means they will be drawn to your favorites. Many times, however, the underdog is not quite as outclassed as the chances would imply that they are. Every time a heavy favorite is drawing a considerable majority of those bets on a fight then you can be confident in most cases that the odds are greater than they otherwise should be on this fighter. That then means the underdog probably faces more attractive odds than you might otherwise expect. The underdog will not necessarily be appealing just since they are facing better chances than they probably should, but if you can normally make a case that the underdog has a good chance then gambling on them could become even more attractive at inflated chances.
An underdog with strong history out of UFC — Many UFC bettors aren’t overall MMA bettors, and they do not adhere to the sport outside of the UFC pay-per0view and broadcast events. Even though there are fewer and fewer other high level organizations on the market that are still some very good fighters toiling out of the UFC. If a fighter arrives to the UFC to struggle for the very first time they often will not get a good deal of respect from bettors — particularly if they are against a UFC veteran — unless they’re heavily encouraged. If you do your homework, however, you might discover that the fighter is in fact rather impressive and more than capable of giving his opponent a tough match on the biggest stage.
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