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This weekend, we have a 12-fight card with two name struggles in Toronto, Canada. We’re back to using PPV sized contests on DraftKings this week and there are some solid GPPs to pursue this week. The most important GPP is a $10 entrance using $25,000 to 1st place. Those are always my favorite contests to chase so I will be taking some shots in that. Other than that, I will adhere to my 3-entry maximum & single entry GPPs. I’ll also be picking up H2Hs through the week and that I will get a good amount of play in games. With that said, here are a few plays I like this week as well as my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,800)
JJ may be the easiest cash game punt of time in $6.8k. The lineup for Fight Goes To Conclusion is currently -195 and if we are getting 5-rounds from JJ with the striking volume she puts out then we’ve got a solid floor there also and it doesn’t matter if she loses or wins. At that cost she lets you pay up for a few heavy favorites and if we could get 4 additional areas to win using a ~40-point reduction from JJ in our lineup then we will be sitting quite pretty in our cash games this weekend.
GPP play of this week — Thiago Santos ($8,800)
Fight Does Not Go To Conclusion is currently lined at -495 for this battle. The most likely outcome is that somebody in this fight gets hauled out in 15-minutes. With that knock-out probably comes at least one 10-point knock down. If that can be in the 1st round, then you are already at 100-points even if it is just the 1st punch/kick of the evening. At $8.8k that’s more than sufficient to offer you a chance at 1st place at a GPP. Thiago is your favorite in this struggle and Manuwa is 38-years old now, so he can’t have much time at the match left. I believe we role with the favored here and toss him into our GPP lineups and then await the fireworks.
Underdog drama of this week — Matthew Lopez ($7,300)
Matthew Lopez is my underdog of the week due to his wrestling/grappling potential. I believe he’s a live underdog here. Lopez lost his last 2 fights by knockout, so that is really what I’d be worried about most with him Brad Katona is probably the better striker of the two but he has never knocked anybody out, so I believe we’ve got a good floor here at $7.3k even if this fight does remain standing since I don’t watch Katona knocking Lopez out. I think Lopez is most likely the better wrestler of the two though and I think he lands multiple takedowns in this battle and may win a decision using a wrestling-heavy game plan. Lopez lands 3.13 takedowns per 15-minutes in a 57 percent accuracy, and when he is getting pieced up on the toes I’m sure he will be going for even greater than that here. At $7.3k I think Lopez makes for a good play in all formats and that I believe he gets a split decision win here since the street underdog.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I am fading a couple of fighters this week , but the individual I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I do not believe she can win, because she for certain can, and I believe she does. However, I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a triumph. I believe we would require a finish from her in this struggle to get 10x that salary and I believe that is very unlikely to take place. Or, she will want FightMetric to rely all her screams as significant strikes. The maximum Chookagian has ever scored in a UFC fight up to now in her career is 83 DK points and that has been contrary to Irene Aldana who places a much greater pace than Jessica Eye does. Even if she could get 83-points here then still wouldn’t be sufficient here to place her in the winning lineup at her $8.7k price tag. I think if you are earning 20 or less lineups that Saturday you can safely fade Chookagian and when she’s a triumph it shouldn’t hurt much.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown each struggle on the card and also give my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my select predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:

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